Using a broad data set of 20 US dollar exchange rates and order flow of institutional investors over 14 years, we construct a measure of global liquidity risk in the foreign exchange (FX) market. Our FX liquidity measure may be seen as the analogue of the well-known Pastor-Stambaugh liquidity...

We investigate the relation between the risk premia observed in forward foreign exchange markets and international equity markets using the Arbitrage Pricing Theory. If returns on well-diversified equity portfolios explain movements in agents' intertemporal marginal rate of substitution then the...

Electronic trading has transformed foreign exchange markets over the past decade, and the pace of innovation only accelerates. This formerly opaque market is now fairly transparent and transaction costs are only a fraction of their former level. Entirely new agents have joined the fray,...

This paper investigates the nature of observed deviations from the unbiased expectations hypothesis in the forward foreign exchange market. If these deviations are due to risk premia then the same premia should be observed in nominal bonds denominated in different currencies. This condition...

The presence of rational speculative bubbles in 28 commodities is investigated using the duration dependence test on the stochastic interest-adjusted basis. 11 of 28 commodities experienced some episodes of rational speculative bubble. These commodities are WTI crude oil, coffee, corn, soybean...

This document contains supporting material for the following article: Tim Kroencke, Felix Schindler and Andreas Schrimpf (2012), "International Diversification Benefits with Foreign Exchange Investment Styles".This paper studies portfolio choice with popular foreign exchange (FX) investment...

I identify a global currency skewness risk factor. Currency portfolios that have higher average excess returns co-vary more positively with this risk factor. They suffer losses in bad times for currency investors when high interest rate investment currencies have a greater tendency to depreciate...

In this study, we test a set of country macro sentiment indexes that measure the trailing sentiment on both scheduled and unscheduled economic and geopolitical news events. We develop a cross-over strategy in the FX market based on short to long-term news sentiment inflection points covering the...

This paper presents evidence that the foreign exchange appreciation is predictable by the currency variance risk premium at a medium 6-month horizon and by the stock variance risk premium at a short 1-month horizon. Although currency variance risk premiums are highly correlated with each other...

We test Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) using LIBOR interest rates for a wide range of maturities. In contrast to other markets, LIBOR markets have minimal frictions which could lead to rejecting UIP. Using panel unit root test suggested by Palm, Smeekes, and Urbain (2010) and cointegration...