To assess the welfare effects of bilateral versus multilateral trade and/or investment liberalisation in general equilibrium, we set up a three-country and three-factor knowledge-capital model of trade and multinational activity. Numerical simulation results indicate that multilateral...

Trade patterns in New Trade Theory models and agglomeration patterns in New Economic Geography models crucially depend on the effect that a higher local demand for products leads to a larger share of production of these products, namely the home market effect. Multinationals could exploit higher...

Using a three factor knowledge-capital model of trade and multinational activity, we consider a set of policy experiments to assess the welfare effects of trade and investment liberalization in general equilibrium. Specifically, we address the question of whether and under which circumstances a...

We propose new methods to identify the full impact of country-specific characteristics on bilateral trade flows within the framework of ‘the new quantitative trade model’. We complement theory with a simple two-stage estimating procedure, and offer a proof of concept by quantifying the...

Starting with Tinbergen (1962), quantifying the effects of regional trade agreements (RTAs) on international trade flows has always been among the most popular topics in the trade literature. Also not surprisingly, to estimate the effects of RTAs, most researchers and policy analysts have relied...

We analyse firms’ sourcing decisions under institutional uncertainty in foreign countries. Firms can reduce their uncertainty by observing offshoring firms’ behaviour. The model characterises a sequential offshoring equilibrium path, led by the most productive firms in the market. With...

We quantify the relationships between deep trade liberalization and foreign direct investment (FDI). To this end, we focus on the effects of Deep Trade Agreements (DTAs), and we rely on a structural framework that simultaneously enables us to (i) estimate the direct impact of DTAs on FDI, (ii)...

When the world economy was recently hit by a severe recession, governments all over the world reacted by initiating stimulus packages. Some countries (among them, most notably, China and the US) tried to put special emphasis on their home industries by including ``Buy local'' clauses into the...

This paper uses a static and dynamic gravity model of trade to investigate the link between German development aid and exports from Germany to the recipient country. The findings indicate that German aid is associated with an increase in exports of goods that is larger than the aid flow, with a...