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There has recently been considerable interest in the potential adverse effects associated with excessive uncertainty in energy futures markets. Theoretical models of investment under uncertainty predict that increased uncertainty will tend to induce firms to delay production and investment....
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Using two alternative approaches, this paper attempts to shed light on the volatility spillovers between crude oil … major stock indexes, covering daily frequency data for the period 1989-2007. The findings indicate that oil price volatility … has, in general, a negative impact on stock market behavior. Also, some asymmetry and persistence on oil price volatility …
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While the relationship between oil prices and stock markets is of great interest to economists, previous studies do not differentiate oil-exporting countries from oil-importing countries when they investigate the effects of oil price shocks on stock market returns. In this paper, we address this...
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We construct downside variance risk premiums from the crude oil and gold option data and use them as proxies for market downside uncertainty risks. We find that these downside variance risk premiums contain commodity market specifc pricing information. Further- more, the gold market's exposure...
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alternative models of constant and time-varying volatility based on the accuracy of point and density forecasts of real oil prices … models with respectively, constant volatility and two forms of time-varying volatility: GARCH and stochastic volatility. In … addition to the standard time-varying models, more flexible models with volatility in mean and moving average innovations are …
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