Tabak, Benjamin M.; Cajueiro, Daniel O.; Sollaci, … - Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department - 2011
This paper compares the forecast precision of the Functional Signal plus Noise (FSN), the Dynamic Nelson-Siegel (DL), and a random walk model. The empirical results suggest that both outperform the random walk at short horizons (one-month) and that the the FSN model outperforms the DL at the...