Jorda, Oscar; Schularick, Moritz; Taylor, Alan - Economics Department, University of California-Davis - 2012
This paper studies the role of credit in the business cycle, with a focus on private credit overhang. Based on a study of the universe of over 200 recession episodes in 14 advanced countries between 1870 and 2008, we document two key facts of the modern business cycle: financial-crisis...