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This paper examines the bilateral trade dynamics of the EU with its major trade partners. Previous studies on the bilateral trade dynamics of the EU have been based on estimations without the consideration of the presence of structural breaks. This paper examines the impacts of the real exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108007
We examine the relationship between trade balance and net export with both, the official and real effective exchange rates on the J-Curve hypothesis and find evidence to support in favor of the hypothesis, coming from a panel data of 49 developing countries from Africa. Countries can improve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010458099
Almost all countries face the problems of trade balance, although they are more inherent in developing countries and economies in transition. A majority of economists adheres to a common opinion real depreciation may lead to an improvement of the trade balance. That said, countries encountering...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011860055
This study empirically analyses bilateral J-curve dynamics of Turkey with her thirteen trading partners using quarterly time series data over the period 1985-2005. Previous studies on the J-curve of Turkey are based on only aggregate data and they reveal mixed results. Short and long-run impacts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005622173
This paper aims to investigate the validity of the J-curve hypothesis between Brazil and the USA using quarterly data for the period of 1981Q1- 2015Q1. To achieve this aim, the vector error correction (VEC) with cointegration, NARX (non-linear autoregressive exogenous) and ANFIS (adaptive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011890523
We assess the bilateral elasticity effect of real exchange rate depreciation on the export and import demand functions of Serbia and its nine leading trade partners. Analysing quarterly data for the 2004-2015 period, we find the presence of a J-curve effect in the cases of Germany, Austria and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012930503
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010385432
Exchange rate management has become a hot topic in academic circles examining the merits of fixed versus floating regimes. The 1997-98 Asian crisis has refocused attention on the exchange rate management of East Asian countries. Most views expressed are critical of the pre-crisis US dollar peg...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011253052
This article examined the exchange rate movements and their impact on the external balances in the 1990s in the selected ASEAN countries. The main findings are as follows. The real effective exchange rate (REER) - the relative prices against the world competitors - shows a trend of appreciation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011265343
Alarmed by the persistent and large US trade deficit vis-à-vis China and the rapidly swelling Chinese foreign exchange reserves, influential US policymakers are urging the Chinese authorities to allow a substantial appreciation of the Renminbi (RMB). This paper establishes that the arguments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011790336