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We consider time series models in which the conditional mean of the response variable given the past depends on latent covariates. We assume that the covariates can be estimated consistently and use an iterative nonparametric kernel smoothing procedure for estimating the conditional mean...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422182
This paper shows that the evolution of the level of Mexico real and real per capita output between 1895 and 2008 can be adequately described through a trendstationary model, affected by 4 structural breaks, which occurred at dates that seem to coincide with domestic institutional arrangements,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322550
We study the dynamics of inflation persistence in 45 countries for the period 1960-2008. We use a nonparametric unit root test robust to nonlinearities, error distributions, structural breaks and outliers, many of them typical features of inflation data, and a test for multiple changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322567
Empirical research on the degree and stability of inflation persistence in the US has produced mixed results: some suggest high and unchanged persistence during the last few decades, while others argue in favor of a decline in persistence since the early 1980s. We contribute to this debate by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322575
It has been found that the t-statistic for testing the null of no relationship between two independent variables diverges asymptotically under a wide variety of nonstationary data generating processes. This paper introduces a simple method which guarantees convergence of this t-statistic to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322603
This paper extends recent research on the behaviour of the t-statistic in a long-horizon regression (LHR). We assume that the explanatory and dependent variables are generated according to the following models: a linear trend stationary process, a broken trend stationary process, a unit root...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322629
suffer from severe size distortions and power reductions when breaks are present. Hence, a new break corrected LM test is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010323702
,hereby investigating the robustness of cointegration methods. Finally, weillustrate how to obtain local power functions of cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324535
power problems, whereas the remaining two areadequate and in fact equivalent. The equivalence between the two valid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324912
It is generally believed that for the power of unit root tests, only the time span and not the observation frequency … methods will yield power gains in the presence of fat tails and persistent volatility clustering, and the strength of these … features (and hence the power gains) increases with the observation frequency. This is illustrated using both Monte Carlo …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325590