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Wir illustrieren den Einsatz von Simulationstechniken zur Betrachtung komplexer Dynamiken in asymmetrischen Konfliktsituationen mit begrenzt rationalen Akteuren. Dazu wird erst ein formaler Modellrahmen entwickelt, dessen Steady state wir bestimmen. Darauf baut eine Umsetzung des Modells in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010406444
challenged when it comes to making predictions about terrorism. To do so, I consider a model of continuous-time conflict between … not associated with a higher risk of terrorism. This paper supports the critics of offense-defense theory, and provides … insights into understanding when terrorism occurs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221797
Wir illustrieren den Einsatz von Simulationstechniken zur Betrachtung komplexer Dynamiken in asymmetrischen Konfliktsituationen mit begrenzt rationalen Akteuren. Dazu wird erst ein formaler Modellrahmen entwickelt, dessen Steady state wir bestimmen. Darauf baut eine Umsetzung des Modells in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010991222
incidents and terror fatalities data, it is shown that media attention and terrorism do mutually Granger cause each other, as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014058499
Why do some democratic governments react weakly to terrorism, while apparently similar regimes react harshly? More … generally, what are the determinants of governments' reaction to terrorism? And, what are the determinants of terrorism and of … its dynamic? In this paper we focus on domestic terrorism and counter-terrorism as affected by economic de- velopment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014112582
, Muslims say, some of whom may resort to acts of terrorism. Here, identity is crucial and provides the micro-foundations of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008519450
We develop a game-theoretic analysis of terrorism that examines the interaction between a terrorist organization and …-effect leads to different kinds of equilibria and implications for counter-terrorism policies. In particular, the model identifies … conditions under which greater pre-emption may be the rational response to an increase in terrorism, i.e., it analyzes the merit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004979343
In Rome, on 16 March 1978, the Red Brigades kidnapped Aldo Moro. They kept him a prisoner for 55 days, and ultimately killed him. Why did they decide to kill Moro since it appears a posteriori that they did not improve their situation by doing so? Our paper answers this question by building...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005000427
This paper focuses on two areas of security concern for the European Union: terrorism and international crime. I … resort to acts of terrorism. Here, identity is crucial to the putative terrorist, providing the microfoundations of dissident …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005071055
incidents and terror fatalities data, it is shown that media attention and terrorism do mutually Granger cause each other, as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005463531