This paper examines the decision to create barriers to arbitrage for a firm selling on two national markets. Sunk costs of market segmentation imply that the option to segment markets is more valuable the greater the variability of purchasing power between markets. One result is that a monetary...

We analyze periodic and seasonal cointegration models for bivariate quarterly observed time series in an empirical forecasting study. We include both single equation and multiple equation methods. A VAR model in first differences with and without cointegration restrictions is also included in...

This paper examines the power properties of several linearity tests applied in time series analysis. The tests are the ones Lee et al. (1993) used in their Monte Carlo study. The main tool used for power comparisons in this paper is the Pitman asymptotic relative efficiency. The results...

This study consists of an examination of productivity growth following three major technological breakthroughs: the steam power revolution, electrification and the ICT revolution. The distinction between sectors producing and sectors using the new technology is emphasized. A major finding for...

Since their opening up to international capital markets, the economies of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania have experienced large and persistent capital inflows and trade deficits. This paper investigates whether a calibrated two-sector neoclassical growth model can explain the magnitudes and the...

A common trends model for grow national income, private consumption, government consumption and net taxes is estimated on US data. The system has two cointegrating vectors and thus two common stochastic trends, interpreted as a technology trend and a public sector trend. The two temporary shocks...

This article is concerned with forecasting from nonlinear conditional mean models. First, a number of often applied nonlinear conditional mean models are introduced and their main properties discussed. The next section is devoted to techniques of building nonlinear models. Ways of computing...

In this paper we consider a general first-order power ARCH process and, in particular, a special case in which the power parameter approaches zero. These considerations give us the autocorrelation function of the logarithms of the squared observations for first-order exponential and logarithmic...

This paper traces the development of Bertil Ohlin's views on issues such as the causes of the depression of the 1930's, policies against the depression, the use of fiscal and monetary policies, and tariffs and public works to stabilize the business cycle. We examine about 80 of his articles on...

Active portfolio management is associated with a costly search for information. This paper provides evidence on how this costly search affects the performance of European-based mutual funds that are actively managed and invest in Asia and Europe. The paper examines both the search for superior...