Giannone, Domenico; Reichlin, Lucrezia; Banbura, Martha - European Centre for Advanced Research in Economics and … - 2008
This paper shows that Vector Autoregression with Bayesian shrinkage is an appropriate tool for large dynamic models. We build on the results by De Mol, Giannone, and Reichlin (2008) and show that, when the degree of shrinkage is set in relation to the cross-sectional dimension, the forecasting...