We empirically investigate the existence of periodically collapsing bubbles in seven Middle East and North African (MENA) financial markets for the period ending in May 2009. We use the Taylor and Peel (1998) residual augmented least square Dickey and Fuller test (RALS DF) to detect the bubbles....

The new learning dynamic of Brown et al. [(1950). Solutions of games by differential equation. In: Kuhn, H.W., Tucker, A.W. (Eds.), Contributions to the Theory of Games I. Annals of Mathematics Studies, vol. 24. Princeton University Press, Princeton] is introduced to macroeconomic dynamics via...

This study tests for the presence of negative bubbles in the REIT markets over the period 1972:01 to 2004:05 using the momentum threshold autoregressive (MTAR) model. There is evidence of asymmetric adjustment towards the long-run equilibrium between REIT prices and dividends indicative of...

This study uses the momentum threshold autoregressive (MTAR) model and the residuals-augmented Dickey-Fuller (RADF) approach to test for the presence of Evans' (1991) periodically collapsing bubbles in four real estate investment trusts (REIT) classifications. The RADF test shows evidence of...

This paper examines a class of interest rate rules that respond to public expectations and to lagged variables. Varying levels of commitment correspond to varying degrees of response to lagged output and targeting of the price level. If the response rises (unintentionally) above the optimal...

One proxy of price rationing of credit is an aggregation of information on interest rates, while loan officer survey data measures quantity rationing of credit, meaning some borrowers are denied loans. The latter Granger causes real GDP but the former does not. The loan officer survey is a...