This paper examines global (mature market) and regional (emerging market) spillovers in local emerging stock markets. Tri-variate VAR GARCH(1,1)-in-mean models are estimated for 41 emerging market economies (EMEs) in Asia, Europe, Latin America, and the Middle East. The models capture a range of...

This paper applies the Phillips and Sul (2007) method to test for convergence in stock returns to an extensive dataset including monthly stock price indices for five EU countries (Germany, France, the Netherlands, Ireland and the UK) as well as the US over the period 1973-2008. We carry out the...

We investigate the determinants of international stock market co-movements, shedding light on the relevance of politics-related factors. We propose a new characterization for the link connecting politics and financial markets, disentangling two different components: political risk and economic...

Stock market variance-return or price relations are sometimes negative and sometimes positive. We explain these puzzling findings using a model with two ("bad" and "good") variances. In the model, conditional equity premium depends positively on bad variance and negatively on good variance....

This article investigates the international information transmission between the U.S. and Greek stock markets using daily data from the Athens Stock Exchange (ASE) and the S&P 500 Index returns. It employs a bivariate exponential GARCH-t (EGARCH-t) that allows for both mean and variance...

Cointegration has frequently been used in the financial econometrics literature to assess the degree of interdependence of financial markets. We show that if individual stock prices are generated by random walks with possibly contemporaneously correlated innovations, the resulting indices cannot...

We examine the international stock market comovements between Western Europe vis-à-vis Central (Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland) and South Eastern Europe (Croatia, Macedonia and Serbia) using multivariate GARCH models in the period 2006–2011. Comparing these two groups, we find that the...

This paper investigates the impact of innovations in US economic policy uncertainty on the co-movements of, respectively, the Shanghai A-share, the Shenzhen A-share, the Shanghai B-share and the Shenzhen B-share market, with the US stock market. We show that it is absolute changes in the US...

We analyze the price effects of steel commodities on stock market returns in emerging and developed economies. These commodities have recently attained increased media exposure due to the rise in the U.S. steel import tariffs, which pose the threat of reducing global demand for steel products...