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In expectations-driven liquidity traps, a higher inflation target is associated with lower inflation and consumption. As a result, introducing the possibility of expectations-driven liquidity traps to an otherwise standard model lowers the optimal inflation target. Using a calibrated New...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181161
We analyze credible forward guidance policies in a sticky-price model with an effective lower bound (ELB) constraint on nominal interest rates by solving a series of optimal sustainable policy problems indexed by the duration of reputational loss. Lower-for-longer policies --- while effective in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181173
Purpose - This paper aims to estimate a New Keynesian small open economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model for Egypt using Bayesian techniques and data for the period FY2004/2005:Q1-FY2015/2016:Q4 to assess monetary and fiscal policy interactions and their impact on economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012159965
This paper studies optimal government spending and monetary policy when the nominal interest rate is subject to the zero lower bound constraint in a stochastic New Keynesian economy. I find that the government chooses to increase its spending when at the zero lower bound by a substantially...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078458
Purpose - This paper aims to estimate a New Keynesian small open economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model for Egypt using Bayesian techniques and data for the period FY2004/2005:Q1-FY2015/2016:Q4 to assess monetary and fiscal policy interactions and their impact on economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015394515
The presence of an occasionally binding constraint due to the zero lower bound (ZLB) in New Keynesian models generally gives rise to multiple equilibria under active Taylor Rules. In order to restore model coherency with active Taylor Rules, we consider appropriate simple fiscal policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014262570
This paper upholds the classical Keynesian position that a laissez-faire market economy lacks a spontaneous tendency to full employment. Focusing on the UK case, it argues that monetary policy could not prevent the economic collapse of 2008-9 or achieve full recovery from the Great Recession...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013175036
The last few years papers have begun to analyse optimal monetary and fiscal policy in models incorporating nominal rigidities where social welfare is derived from the utility of agents. This paper examines whether this analysis provides support for the consensus assignment, where monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014192733
Dramatic fiscal developments in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis and global recession led researchers to recognize how little we know about fiscal policies and their impacts. This essay argues that fiscal analysis that aims to address pertinent issues and provide useful inputs to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013010203
In this paper, using monetary policy rules, we build a model which describes the fixing of the interest rate by the Bank of Central African's States (BEAC). First, with a GMM adapted for a forward looking rule, we propose a reaction function for this central bank. The result shows that from 1986...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015217762