It has often been argued that East Asia needs to switch from an export-led growth model to a domestic-demand led growth model so as to reduce its vulnerability to a sharp slowdown in the US economy. This paper argues that, indeed, in the foreseeable future, East Asia's business cycle is unlikely...

Driven largely by unique economic and political factors, Hong Kong SAR was a globalised economy long before the advent of global value chains in the 1990s. In particular, Hong Kong's role as a link between Mainland China and the rest of the world strengthened over time, as did its status as an...

Hong Kong's inflation is heavily influenced by the development in the property market, as property prices can affect the CPI through the CPI rental component, rental cost effect on service fees and charges, and the wealth effect on aggregate demand. Therefore, the deployment of countercyclical...

This paper proposes an integrative and dynamic approach for analyzing business failure. The simultaneous estimation results obtained with Australian data indicate significant associations between bankruptcy rates in different industries. Most of these associations are positive and hence implying...