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This paper analyses mutual causalities between crude oil price and euro / US dollar exchange rate. Instead of focusing on long-run macroeconomic linkages like the bulk of the relevant literature takes a financial markets perspective using daily data. The fast-running simultaneousimpacts are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003727689
If oil exporters stabilize the purchasing power of their export revenues in terms of imports, exchange rate developments (and particularly, developments in the US dollar/euro exchange rate) may contain information about oil price changes. This hypothesis depends on three conditions: (a) OPEC has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009731788
This paper examines the dynamics in the relationship between oil price and exchange rate in Nigeria by utilizing monthly data spanning January 1986 to June 2018. It specifically determines asymmetries in the relationship between oil price and exchange rate and the effect of oil price shocks on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012178353
Using DCC-GARCH model, this paper finds that, since 1990, the relationship between crude oil prices and the US dollar index is time-varying, demonstrating a process of ‘very weak correlation-negative correlation-enhanced negative correlation-weakening negative correlation’, but the existing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011884180
This research estimated the smooth transition autoregressive model with exogenous variables to evaluate the non-linearity of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil price from the exchange rate of US dollar and WTI crude oil production. The sample period used in this research was the weekly data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014497448
Using recent advances in panel data estimation techniques, we find that an appreciation of the US dollar exchange rate leads to a significant decline in oil demand for a sample of 65 oil-importing countries. The estimated effect turns out to be much larger than the impact of a shift in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009707558
This study examines the effects of changes in the exchange rate of the US dollar on the trade balances of three oil-exporting countries, namely Iran, Venezuela and Saudi Arabia. An exchange rate pass-through model is applied to allow changes in the exchange rate of the dollar to affect prices of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084159
Using recent advances in panel data estimation techniques, we find that an appreciation of the US dollar exchange rate leads to a significant decline in oil demand for a sample of 65 oil-importing countries. The estimated effect turns out to be much larger than the impact of a shift in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086048
Empirical relationships between crude oil prices and exchange rates of oil exporting countries tend to vary over time. I use econometric models of the norwegian and canadian nominal exchange rates to investigate whether such time-variation could reflect shifts in the key oil price drivers over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214320
We document a robust and interesting relationship between the real domestic price of oil and real effective exchange rates for Germany, Japan and the United States. We also offer an explanation why the real oil price captures exogenous terms of trade shocks, and why such shocks could be the most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014065089