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Prediction markets vs polls : an examination of accuracy for the 2008 and 2012 elections

Arnesen, Sveinung; Bergfjord, Ole - In: The journal of prediction markets 8 (2014) 3, pp. 24-33

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010530195

Statistically Measuring 2016 Presidential Candidate Electability : Evidence from Prediction Markets

Hartley, Jonathan - 2016

We use prediction market data from Betfair, the world's largest Internet betting exchange, to measure the electability of 2016 Presidential candidates using regressions that compare the general election contest and party nomination win probabilities for each candidate. A candidate who is more...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992663

Information flow between prediction markets, polls and media : evidence from the 2008 presidential primaries

Khan, Urmee; Lieli, Robert P. - In: International journal of forecasting 34 (2018) 4, pp. 696-710

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012031084

Bayesian learning and the pricing of new information : evidence from prediction markets

Lee, David S.; Moretti, Enrico - In: The American economic review 99 (2009) 2, pp. 330-336

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003854172

Interpreting political prediction market prices as probabilities : a study of a 2008 US presidential election market

Keller, Christopher M.; Mai, Enping; Kros, John F. - In: The journal of prediction markets 5 (2011) 3, pp. 27-41

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009412194

Arbitrage trade in prediction markets

Kildal, P.; McPherson, T. A.; Loftaas, L. R.; Valvik, K.; … - In: The journal of prediction markets 6 (2012) 3, pp. 14-26

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010251452

Predicting the presidential election cycle in US stock prices : guinea pigs versus the pros

Gärtner, Manfred - In: Applied economics letters 17 (2010) 16/18, pp. 1759-1765

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009232147

Predicting the presidential election cycle in US stock prices : Guinea pigs versus the pros

Gärtner, Manfred - 2008

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003723946

Citizen typography and political brands in the 2016 US presidential election campaign

Billard, Thomas J. - In: Marketing theory 18 (2018) 3, pp. 421-431

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011926146

2016 U.S. presidential election and stock markets in China

Hoe, SingRu; Nippani, Srinivas - In: International journal of economics and finance 9 (2017) 7, pp. 32-38

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011712298

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