Geopolitical decoupling is intended to, and generally succeeds in, reducing bilateral trade flows. But what about its impact on FDI? This Perspective examines the recent experience of UK FDI after Brexit, and Chinese FDI after Trump.

Executive summary -- Overview -- The role of US multinationals in the US economy and the evolution of their domestic operations -- Outward FDI by US multinationals: implications for US jobs, exports, and investment -- Globalization of R&D by US multinationals: implications for US prosperity --...