We show that in misspecified models with useless factors (for example, factors that are independent of the returns on the test assets), the standard inference procedures tend to erroneously conclude, with high probability, that these irrelevant factors are priced and the restrictions of the...

This paper develops a Bayesian methodology to compare asset pricing models containing non-traded factors and principal components. Existing comparison procedures are inadequate when models include such factors due to estimation uncertainties in mimicking portfolios and return covariances....

This paper shows that robust inference under weak identification is important to the evaluation of many influential macro asset pricing models, including long-run risk models, disaster risk models, and multifactor linear asset pricing models. Building on recent developments in the conditional...

This supplemental appendix contains additional technical details of Cheng, Dou, and Liao (2020). Section SA provides the proofs of several lemmas on the asymptotic convergence of the random components in the test statistic T and the conditional critical value. Section SB verifies the bounded...

This paper shows that robust inference under weak identification is important to the evaluation of many influential macro asset pricing models, including long-run risk models, disaster risk models, and multi-factor linear asset pricing models. Building on recent developments in the conditional...

Based on the theory of static replication of variance swaps we assess the sign and magnitude of variance risk premiums in foreign exchange markets. We find significantly negative risk premiums when realized variance is computed from intraday data with low frequency. As a likely consequence of...

We merge the literature on downside return risk and liquidity risk and introduce the concept of extreme downside liquidity (EDL) risks. The cross-section of stock returns reflects a premium if a stock's return (liquidity) is lowest at the same time when the market liquidity (return) is lowest....

Building on the Shanken (1992) estimator, we develop a new methodology for estimating and testing beta-pricing models when a large number of assets N is available but the number of time-series observations is small. We show empirically that our large N framework can change substantially common...

Stock market volatility clusters in time, appears fractionally integrated, carries a risk premium, and exhibits asymmetric leverage effects relative to returns. At the same time, the volatility risk premium, defined by the difference between the risk-neutral and objective expectations of the...

Jumps in asset prices are ubiquitous, yet the apparent high price of jump risk observed empirically is widely viewed as puzzling. Importantly however, in addition to direct price risks, jumps may also trigger simultaneous changes in other distributional features of asset returns. We develop...