Cover -- Title Page -- Copyright -- Contents -- Acknowledgments -- Prologue -- Chapter 1: Profit from Accurate Forecasting -- 1.1 The Importance of Demand Forecasting -- 1.2 When Is a Forecast Not a Forecast? -- 1.3 Ways of Presenting Forecasts -- 1.3.1 Forecasts as Probability Distributions --...

Purpose – Hard decision analysis models allow complex decisions to be broken down into easier‐to‐handle and precisely defined sub‐problems and also provide a documented rationale for the decision. This paper aims to investigate why the course of action prescribed by a hard decision...