scoring rule. We demonstrate the measure's good performance in a simulation study based on empirical data from the Survey of …

This report presents an overview of the Survey of Consumer Expectations, a new monthly online survey of a rotating … panel of household heads. The survey collects timely information on consumers' expectations and decisions on a broad variety … of topics, including but not limited to inflation, household finance, the labor market, and the housing market. There are …

We document novel survey-based facts about preferred long-run inflation rates among US consumers. Consumers on average … prefer a 0.20% annual inflation rate, well below the Federal Reserve's 2% target. Inflation preferences not only correlate … that two narratives based on economic models-describing how inflation lowers the real value of wages and money holdings …