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The primary objective of this paper is to revisit a number of empirical modelling activities which are often characterized as data mining, in an attempt to distinguish between the problematic and the non-problematic cases. The key for this distinction is provided by the notion of...
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The debate on whether macroeconomic series are trend or difference stationary, initiated by Nelson and Plosser [Nelson, C. R.; Plosser, C. I. (1982). Trends and random walks in macroeconomic time series: some evidence and implications. <italic>Journal of Monetary Economics</italic>10:139-162] remains unresolved....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009279867
The main aim of the paper is to reevaluate the methodological contributions of Tinbergen and Haavelmo in the context of the current discussions on econometric modeling and propose a reformulation of the Haavelmo methodology. The paper argues that the textbook methodology constitutes a less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008739409
The problem of statistical model specification was initially raised by R.A. Fisher who understood it as an informed selection whose adequacy is testable a posteriori. This, however, raised the problem of how to blend substantive subject matter with statistical information in empirical modeling,...
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