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A simple model is used to analyze the performance of a system for verifying compliance with an arms control treaty. Blue and Red are partners in to a treaty. Blue prefers to comply, but is uncertain whether Red similarly prefers compliance (in the absence of threatened violation detection)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436809
Interest in Measurement Uncertainty Analysis has grown in the past several years as it has spread to new fields of application, and research and development of uncertainty methodologies have continued. This paper discusses the subject from the perspectives of both research and calibration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435971
surveillance testing errors. In this paper, a mathematical model of the effect of errors made during surveillance testing on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436380
uncertainty inherent in the treaty verification process. It helps the user gain insights into the interactions among monitoring … components are: cavity decoupling, verification effectiveness, probability of missed violation, probability of false accusation … makers with rational, defensible analyses, which can be used as input when making important treaty and verification decisions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436599
DOE facilities handling special nuclear material are required to comply with DOE Order 5633.3, which addresses various aspects of nuclear material accounting. In particular, it requires that control limits be calculated for nuclear material inventory differences. These requirements and methods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435582
DOE facilities handling special nuclear material are required to comply with DOE Order 5633.3, which addresses various aspects of nuclear material accounting. In particular, it requires that control limits be calculated for nuclear material inventory differences. These requirements and methods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436249
Sometimes a regulatory requirement or a quality-assurance procedure sets an allowed maximum on a confidence limit for a mean. If the sample mean of the measurements is below the allowed maximum, but the confidence limit is above it, a very widespread practice is to increase the sample size and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435858
Sometimes a regulatory requirement or a quality-assurance procedure sets an allowed maximum on a confidence limit for a mean. If the sample mean of the measurements is below the allowed maximum, but the confidence limit is above it, a very widespread practice is to increase the sample size and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436257
In order to devise an algorithm for autonomously terminating Monte Carlo sampling when sufficiently small and reliable confidence intervals (CI) are achieved on calculated probabilities, the behavior of CI estimators must be characterized. This knowledge is also required in comparing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435548
intervals. It reviews the application of basic descriptive statistics to data sets which contain intervals rather than … exclusively point estimates. It describes algorithms to compute various means, the median and other percentiles, variance …, interquartile range, moments, confidence limits, and other important statistics and summarizes the computability of these statistics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435587