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We develop a method for identifying and quantifying the fiscal channels that help finance government spending shocks. We define fiscal shocks as surprises in defense spending and show that they are more precisely identified when defense stock data are used in addition to aggregate macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137024
Prior to the subprime crisis, mortgage brokers charged higher percentage fees for loans that turned out to be riskier ex post, even when conditioning on other risk characteristics. High conditional fees reveal borrower attributes that are associated with high borrower risk, such as suboptimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962929
We identify a common default risk premia (DRP) factor in the risk-adjusted excess returns on pure default-contingent claims. Asset pricing tests using almost 50 corporate bond portfolios sorted on rating, maturity or industry suggest that the DRP factor is priced in the corporate bond market....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012727146
Common variation in the prices of defaultable securities may not always be associated with a rational response to an increase in the relative importance of a macroeconomic risk factor. Building on Campbell's ICAPM framework, we show that risk premia of assets with nonlognormal return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772338
I document an abnormal increase in the price of default insurance for target firms at the time of an activist hedge fund intervention, despite an abnormal decrease in expected default losses. After the intervention, credit spreads remain abnormally high for confrontational activist campaigns but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909107
We propose an equilibrium model of over-the-counter corporate bond trading with short selling, asymmetric information and dealer inventory costs. The model predicts that higher inventory costs impose implicit short-sale constraints on informed investors and are thus associated with lower price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899133
Prior to the subprime crisis, mortgage brokers charged higher fees for subprime loans that turned out to be riskier ex post, even when conditioning on other risk characteristics. Borrowers who paid higher conditional fees were inherently more risky, not just because they paid higher fees. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857575
We develop an equilibrium model for origination fees charged by mortgage brokers and show how the equilibrium fee distribution depends on borrowers' valuation for their loans and their information about fees. We use non-crossing quantile regressions and data from a large subprime lender to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046702