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Options with different maturities can be used to generate volatility estimates for non-overlapping future time intervals. This paper develops the term structure of volatility implied by corn futures options, and evaluates the informational content of the implied forward volatility as a predictor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005344131
Options with different maturities can be used to generate an implied forward volatility, a volatility forecast for non-overlapping future time intervals. Using five commodities with varying characteristics, we find that the implied forward volatility dominates forecasts based on historical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005805417
Accurately forecasting volatility at distant horizons is critical for managing long-term risk in agriculture. Given the poor performance of GARCH-type models at long-term volatility forecast, we develop a risk-adjusted implied volatility, which adjust the risk-neutral implied volatility by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009020526
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616167
Feedback mechanisms that allow partners to rate each other after a transaction are considered crucial for the success of anonymous internet trading platforms. We document an asymmetry in the feedback behavior on eBay, propose an explanation based on the micro structure of the feedback mechanism...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333879
eBay's feedback mechanism is considered crucial to establishing and maintaining trust on the world's largest trading platform. The effects of a user's reputation on the probability of sale and on prices are at the center of a large number of studies. More recent theoretical work considers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010334106
This dissertation titled “Informational Content of Financial Experts’ Recommendations and their Impact on Capital Markets” analyzes the informational content of stock recommendations issued by financial experts. The first part of this work (namely Chapter 2 to Chapter 4) concentrates on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009475358
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374105
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009665556
Feedback mechanisms that allow partners to rate each other after a transaction are considered crucial for the success of anonymous internet trading platforms. We document an asymmetry in the feedback behavior on eBay, propose an explanation based on the micro structure of the feedback mechanism...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010366534