Weather fluctuations, such as those caused by the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO),add to the riskiness associated with agricultural production. Improved predictive capacitymay help ameliorate negative impacts of climate and weather shocks on agriculture, but itis possible that the benefits...

Weather fluctuations, such as those caused by the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), add to the riskiness associated with agricultural production. Improved predictive capacity may help ameliorate negative impacts of climate and weather shocks on agriculture, but it is possible that the...

Computable general equilibrium (CGE) models are used widely in policy analysis. The purpose of this paper is to contribute to and facilitate the use of CGE models. The paper includes a detailed presentation of a “standard” CGE model (an equation-by-equation description) and its required...

Income mobility can be viewed as a first-order Markov process, with a matrix of transition probabilities which measure how individuals move from an income status in time t to a new status in time t+1. Direct estimation of transition matrices is difficult, since time series panel data are...

The Asian financial crisis led to a major devaluation of the Indonesian exchange rate,macro instability, and the need for a “structural adjustment” program. The real devaluation affectsprices throughout the economy and has a major impact on growth, production, deforestation, andincome...

As a result of Zambia's dependence on copper mining, both the falling world copper price and the possible withdrawal of investment from the mining sector might seriously threaten economic growth and stability. Accordingly, the impact of a 20 percent reduction in world copper prices and a...