Futures prices when combined with a basis forecast provide a reliable way to forecast cashprices. The most popular method of forecasting basis is historical moving averages. Given therecent failure of longer moving averages proposed by previous studies, this research reassessespast...

Recent accusations against speculators in general and long-only commodity index funds inparticular, include: increasing market volatility, distorting historical price relationships, andfueling a rapid increase and decrease in commodity inflation. Some researchers have argued thatthese market...

One of the impacts of higher prices along with greater volatility in futures and basis is thatthere is pressure for an escalation in cash contracting for grain. This volatility has resulted inan unprecedented level of contracting with growers in recent years. There is a wide array ofcash...

We demonstrate how to specify and estimate a time series model that can isolate the effects of changes in fishery policy and forecast the outcome of policy changes in the context of changing climate and economic factors. The approach is illustrated with data from the headboat fishery for red...

This study analyses the importance and dimensions of risk sources and computer adoptionamong farmers in a changing economic policy and trade environment. A survey was conductedin 1996 among 112 commercial farmers in KwaZulu-Natal. The majority of respondents were infavour of a liberalized trade...

The coffee is one of the most important products in the economy of MinasGerais. In some specific places it has a great importance in the local production, but inany place the economic players involved in that market have the same trouble: the shareof risk taken by them. Therefore, would be...

The success of the agricultural systems is affected by several social, cultural and economical variables, which can restrict or nurture the development of the agribusiness. In this context, agricultural managers search for ways to improve production efficiency. This effort comprises the...

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As the world's largest carbon resources country with relatively great carbon emission, China in has just started its carbon trade. China is only a passive participant in international carbon trading market, rarely participating in the project of Clean Development Mechanism (CDM). Therefore,...

No-till (NT) has been shown to reduce fuel, labor, and machinery costs compared to conventional-till (CT) but very few rice producers in Arkansas practice NT. The low adoption rate is most likely due to difficulties in management but also limited information on the profitability and risk of NT....