Sampling distinct units from a population with unequal probabilities without replacement is a problem often considered in the literature, e.g. Hanif and Brewer (1980). If we implement such a sampling design, we can estimate the total of an unknown characteristic by the Horvitz-Thompson estimator...

Analysts of survey data are often interested in modelling the population process, or superpopulation, that gave rise to a `target' set of survey variables. An important tool for this is maximum likelihood estimation. A survey is said to provide limited information for such inference if data used...

Microsimulation of business performance based on sample survey data is a relatively underdeveloped field, but its application in government economic policy formulation is potentially great since it can be used to measure the distributional effects of change rather than just average change....

The Bayesian approach has a number of attractive properties for probabilistic forecasting. In this paper, we apply Bayesian time series models to obtain future population estimates with uncertainty for England and Wales. To account for heterogeneity found in the historical data, we add...

This thesis comprises three essays on convergence issues in selected Asian countries, focusing on both macro and micro perspectives. These papers encompass issues on convergence testing from time series and panel perspectives, with in-depth coverage on convergence in aggregate and structural (...

Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to contribute to OM Practice Contingency Research by describing the complexity of projects. Complexity is recognised as a key independent (con-tingent) variable that impacts on many subsequent decisions in the practice of managing pro-jects. Methodology:...

Is there an economic rationale for pronatalist policies? In this paper we propose and analyze a particular market failure that may lead to inefficiently low equilibrium fertility and therefore to a need for government intervention. The friction we investigate is related to the ownership of...

Conventional approaches to project selection in the private sector are centred upon single hurdle tests of net present value (NPV) using a discount rate incorporating the opportunity cost of equity capital, intended to embody risk considerations. There are fundamental problems with such...

Background: The HIV epidemic has caused a dramatic increase in tuberculosis (TB) in East and southern Africa. Several strategies have the potential to reduce the burden of TB in high HIV prevalence settings, and cost and cost-effectiveness analyses can help to prioritize them when budget...

There is much debate, but surprisingly little evidence, concerning the impact of primarily supply side Active Labor Market Programs (ALMPs) in labor markets characterised by weak labor demand. The usual argument is that we might expect ALMPs to have greater impacts in tight labor markets than in...