This paper presents a methodology for forecasting seasonal streamflow and is an extension of a previously developed … categorical streamflow forecast model that used persistence (i.e., the previous season’s streamflow) and El Niño … is expressed as probability of exceedance of continuous streamflow amounts. An exceedance probability forecast is …

The interannual variability of streamflow in Australia is greater than elsewhere in the world. Reliable forecasts of … streamflow would go a long way towards improving the management of water resources systems by enabling them to cope better with … of the paper presents statistical methods for forecasting streamflow. Probabilistic methods for forecasting categorical …