"Policy simulations for national economies with econometric models in general are done using a stand alone national model with exogenous export values and import prices. In a globalised world such an exercise is critical, since the policy in question may change the export prices and the import...

"Whilst in western Germany the number of employed is likely to increase by 1.2 to 1.3 million between 2000 and 2015, in other words there is light at the end of the tunnel, for eastern Germany there are no indications of a positive labour market development with dynamics of its own. On the...

"Policy simulations for national economies with econometric models in general are done using a stand alone national model with exogenous export values and import prices. In a globalised world such an exercise is critical, since the policy in question may change the export prices and the import...

Assuming that global oil production peaked, this paper uses scenario analysis to show the economic effects of a possible supply shortage and corresponding rise in oil prices in the next decade on different sectors in Germany and other major economies such as the US, Japan, China, the OPEC or...

The labor market implications of large investment into renewable energy (RE) are analyzed in this text. Although a growing RE industry can be observed in Germany the overall effect of large increases of RE based electricity and heat generating technologies on the German economy require a careful...

The role of information and communication technology (ICT) is discussed both with respect to economic growth and green global modernization. ICT stands for the most innovative sector in the EU and the US; high productivity growth and digital product innovations are characteristics of this...

The paper presents the multisector/multicountry energy–economic–environment model GINFORS, which has already been used as the simulation engine in the project MOSUS of the 5th EU framework programme. The detailed description of the model features the application ability for energy...