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series. Using in-sample regressions and out-of sample forecasts, we show that the predictive power of leverage is roughly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010599362
the imports and exports of Euro Area for 2010 and 2011, some strategies to improve the forecasts accuracy were tested. The … most accurate forecasts for 2010 were those based on ARIMA models for the mentioned indicators. An improvement of the … forecasts accuracy for the average percentage of change in imports was registered for 2011 by combining the lowest and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010599758
dominates forecasts based on historical volatility information, but that the predictive accuracy is affected by the commodity …'s characteristics. Unbiased and efficient corn and soybeans market forecasts are attributable to the well-established volatility during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005805417
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808173
forecasts of production, consumption, exports and export average price of meat (beef, pork and poultry). Forecasts were … growth rates were also calculated. Series observed involve the period from 1972 to 2009 and the analysis of the forecasts … involves the period from 2010 to 2020. The forecasts of the products are well adjusted to the observations. According to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011149497
The introduction of inflation targeting has led to major progress in practical monetary policy. Recent debate has focused on the interest-rate assumption underlying published projections of inflation and other target variables. This paper discusses the role of alternative interest-rate paths in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011149962
macroeconomic forecasts of the Federal Reserve. This paper empirically reviews the existing results by comparing the different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011158553
According to participants in the Chicago Fed’s annual Economic Outlook Symposium, the U.S. economy is forecasted to grow at a pace slightly above average in 2015, with inflation ticking lower and the unemployment rate edging down.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011213695
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011213886
Рассмотрены проблемы государственного финансирования туристско-рекреационного комплекса Кабардино-Балкарской Республики. Особое внимание уделено...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011218343