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Exchange rate stability was defined as one of the prerequisites for monetary integration in Europe. In this paper, we … analyze recent developments in the volatility of exchange rates of the Central European countries (the Visegrad Group) and a … exchange rate volatility: squared returns parametric model and GARCH. Both methods provide identical results for the currencies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009477538
Exchange rate stability was defined as one of the prerequisites for monetary integration in Europe. In this paper, we … analyze recent developments in the volatility of exchange rates of the Central European countries (the Visegrad Group) and a … exchange rate volatility: squared returns parametric model and GARCH. Both methods provide identical results for the currencies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005207889
sample of four transition economies and finds that exchange rates tend to return faster to their Hodrick … central banks should not be overly concerned with short-run volatility of their national exchange rates, given the self …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599329
In this paper, we challenge the traditional assumption of a linear relationship between exchange rate volatility and … economic growth in South Africa. By using data collected from 1970 to 2016 applied to a smooth transition regression (STR … volatility positively and significantly influences economic growth when growth in government spending is below 6 percent. Above …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011870188
The paper investigates the determinants of foreign currency borrowing by the private sector in the new member states of the European Union. We find that striking differences in patterns of foreign currency borrowing between countries are explained by the loan-to-deposit ratios, openness, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825762
The paper reviews key macroeconomic challenges with EU accession in Southeastern Europe (SEE). Most of the countries in the region are years away from EU accession and need substantial progress to meet the key macroeconomic criteria-the establishment of a functioning market economy and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768897
have driven movements in equilibrium real exchange rates in the Baltics since the start of the transition process. In the … earlier years of transition, price liberalization, increased demand for services and other nontradables, and shifts in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005591344
Estimation and simulation of sustainable real exchange rates in some of the new EU accession countries point to potential difficulties in sustaining the ERM2 regime if entered too soon and with weak policies. According to the estimates, the Czech, Hungarian, and Polish currencies were overvalued...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599488
) have also been generally favorable. Can CBAs serve these transition countries well all the way up to the adoption of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605518
Currency option implied volatility predicts more efficiently exchange rate volatility for the Polish zloty relative to … GARCH model shows a positive impact of the introduction of the Euro on exchange rate volatility for the Polish zloty … (negative for the Czech koruna), related to its larger exposure to external shocks. For countries in transition to Euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248136