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The purpose of the study is to examine whether the returns and volatility for Indian exchange rates possess non … statistics to test for non-linearity. The empirical results provide the evidence of strong non-linear dependence in the Indian … exchange rate returns and volatility and also that is time-varying. The results also suggest that the GARCH model, which has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009352493
evidence indicates that both volatility spillover and regime shift contribute to nonlinear causality and the explanation power …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010588232
The aim of this paper is to test the nonlinearity of the relation between the stock price in Romania and the nominal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011082312
The answer seems affirmative. We compare currency carry trades with an investment strategy based on currency fundamentals: taking a long (short) position in undervalued (overvalued) currencies. Carry trades have high risk-adjusted returns, but are subject to "crash risk." In contrast, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008519510
Reliable medium-term forecasts are essential for forward-looking monetary policy decisionmaking. Traditionally, predictions of the exchange rate tend to be linked to the equilibrium concept implied by the purchasing power parity (PPP) theory. In particular, the traditional benchmark for exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008527035
In this paper, we test Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) by applying a new unit root test that allows for nonlinearity in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008538876
This paper examines whether deviations from PPP are stationary in the presence of nonlinearity, and whether the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769039
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132913
We provide empirical evidence that deviations from uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) display significant nonlinearities, consistent with theories based on transaction costs or limits to speculation. This evidence suggests that the forward bias documented in the literature may be less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005604790
This paper introduces a time-varying threshold autoregressive model (TVTAR), which is used to examine the persistence of deviations from PPP. We find support for the stationary TVTAR against the unit root hypothesis; however, for some developing countries, we do not reject the TVTAR with a unit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005604859