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In this study we examine the impact on Hungary of a possible correction of global imbalances. We distinguished four different channels of the global adjustment process, which are widely referred to in the literature (fiscal tightening in the U.S.; housing price correction in the US; an increase...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005562381
Deterministic population forecasts do not give an appropriate indication of forecast uncertainty. Forecasts should be probabilistic, rather than deterministic, so that their expected accuracy can be assessed. We review three main methods to compute probabilistic forecasts, namely time series...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005565947
Interdisciplinary studies that draw on long-term, global population projections often make limited use of projection results, due at least in part to the historically opaque nature of the projection process. We present a guide to such projections aimed at researchers and educators who would...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005565950
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forecasting exercises. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005566178
Accurate and robust short-term load forecasting plays a significant role in electric power operations. This paper … load forecasting problem. The objective is to automatically generate models that could effectively and reliably predict … problem of forecasting electricity consumption. This study, besides providing an important contribution to the energy load …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011189281
-resolution wave power production and forecasting data is synthesized for wave energy arrays spatially-distributed along the region …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011189959
interest about forecasting such imminent threats for economic stability. In this paper we propose a novel hybrid forecasting … Vector Regression (SVR) methodology that originates from machine learning. We test the forecasting ability of the proposed …-of-sample forecasting. Finally, we argue that this new methodology can be used as an early warning system for forecasting sudden house price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011190220