Forecasting regional variables provides very important information for political, institutional and economic agents. However, in the present context characterized by important decline of economies, heterogeneous data and regional interdependencies, it is even more difficult to carry out accurate...

UK inflation varied greatly over 1865-1990, in response to many policy and exchange-rate regimes, two world wars and oil crises, and major legislative, and technological changes. It is modelled as responding to excess demands from all sectors of the economy: goods and services, factors of...

The research analyzes the price transmission among the Costa Rican markets of cattle, beef and milk, accounting for asymmetric behavior and structural breaks. Monthly price data covering the first month of 1998 to the fourth month of 2008 were used. Price transmission between each market pair...

This work assesses the extent to which h the Fischler reform of the CAP increased the elasticity of price transmission (EPT) between the world and the European agricultural commodity markets. Commodities considered are soft and durum wheat, corn, feed barley, and butter. Results show that the...

During the past half century, per-acre maize yields have increased due to improved cultivars, better management, and favorable weather.  Recent US biofuel legislation, e.g., revised Renewable Fuel Standard, has increased the demand for bio-fuel and added competition for available cropland. ...

This paper uses multivariate time series methods to investigate convergence of Chinese real GDP per capita at regional and provincial levels over the period 1952 – 2001. We reject convergence across regions. However, we find evidence of common trends among the provincial real incomes within...

We apply the Pesaran (2007) pair-wise approach of convergence to the per capita outputs of 195 European regions for the period 1980–2006. Pesaran's approach is based on the computation of the percentage ratio of output gaps which fulfil a given convergence criterion. A high ratio will be...

I revisit the Great Inflation and the Great Moderation. I document an immoderation in corporate balance sheet variables so that the Great Moderation is best described as a period of divergent patterns in volatilities for real, nominal and financial variables. A model with time-varying financial...

The purpose of the paper is to examine the nature of Greek regional unemployment. The paper contributes to the literature assessing the stochastic properties of Greek unemployment rate in the context of the Greek regions by relying on various univariate and panel unit root tests. In particular,...

This study uses prices for the German 3 percent imperial loan issued in several tranches since 1890 and still traded during World War I to measure capital market players’ real-time perceptions of the prospects for Germany as the war proceeded. Price data are gathered from the Amsterdam market...