In this paper,a method is introduced for approximating the likelihood for the unknown parameters of a state space model.The approximation converges to the true likelihood as the simulation size goes to infinity. In addition,the approximating likelihood is continuous as a function of the unknown...

This paper examines characteristics of cooperative behavior in a repeated, n-person, continuous action generalization of a Prisoner?s Dilemma game. When time preferences are heterogeneous and bounded away from one, how ?much? cooperation can be achieved by an ongoing group? How does group...

Background Mathematical models have become invaluable management tools for epidemiologists, both shedding light on the mechanisms underlying observed dynamics as well as making quantitative predictions on the effectiveness of different control measures. Here, we explain how substantial biases...

Likelihood ratio (LR) tests for association and for interaction are examined for three-way contingency tables, particularly the widely used 2 x 2 x K table. Mutual information identities are used to characterize the information decomposition and the logical relationship between the omnibus LR...

The present work studies the application of two group discriminant analysis in the field of credit scoring. The view here given provides a completely different approach to how this problem is usually targeted. Credit scoring is widely used among financial institutions and is performed in a...

The accuracy of prediction is a commonly studied topic in modern statistics. The performance of a predictor is becoming increasingly more important as real-life decisions axe made on the basis of prediction. In this thesis we investigate the prediction accuracy of logistic models from two...

Many medical studies involve modelling the relationship between an outcomevariable and a series of one or more continuous/interval scaled discrete explanatoryvariables. It is common practice in many of these studies for some, or indeed all, ofthe continuous/interval scaled discrete explanatory...

The performance of a contracting company is closely linked with the quality of the decisions at the strategic level. However, the increasing complexity of organizations’ internal and external environments and the unstructured nature of decisions at the strategic level make the decision making...

This paper considers a hybrid maintenance policy for a simple system comprising a single component that arises from a heterogeneous population. This population of components consists of two sub-populations that possess different failure characteristics. There are a substantial number of papers...