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The influence of government expenditure on private consumption has been debated among scholars. Some studies have found a positive linkage between the two while some others have found a negative one. In this study, the Markov-Switching Autoregressive (MSAR) model was used to investigate the...
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Human mortality has been improving faster than expected over the past few decades. This unprecedented improvement has caused significant financial stress to pension plan sponsors and annuity providers. The widely recognized Lee-Carter model often assumes linearity in its period effect as an...
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With the recent availability of high-frequency Financial data the long range dependence of volatility regained researchers' interest and has lead to the consideration of long memory models for realized volatility. The long range diagnosis of volatility, however, is usually stated for long sample...
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direct forecasts when estimation error is a first-order concern, i.e. in small samples and for long forecast horizons …
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