This paper focuses on labour market dynamics in the EU 15 using Markov Chains for proportions of aggregate data for the first time in this literature. We apply a Bayesian approach, which employs a Monte Carlo Integration procedure that uncovers the entire empirical posterior distribution of...

This paper summarizes the proceedings of a conference at the Bank of Greece on credit risk. The papers presented focused on innovations in risk management methods which contribute to systemic financial stability, calculation of capital adequacy in financial institutions as well as the validation...

We generalize existing structural credit risk models that account for contagion effects across economic sectors, to capture the impact of neglected skewness and excess kurtosis in the asset return process, on the shape of the credit loss distribution. We specify Skew-Normal and Skew-Student t...

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine the asymmetric dynamic rotation of beta coefficients to global investment style factor shocks in the Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) universe of assets and its implications for investment management. Design/methodology/approach –...

Front Cover -- The Analytics of Risk Model Validation -- Copyright Page -- Table of Contents -- About the editors -- About the contributors -- Preface -- Chapter 1 Determinants of small business default -- Abstract -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Data, methodology and summary statistics -- 3. Empirical...