In this paper, we study bubble episodes in the United Kingdom private real estate sectors (Retail, O ces, Industrial) over the period December 1986 to April 2022. We use the backward supremum augmented Dickey Fuller (BSADF) approach of Phillips et al. (2015a,b) to identify bubbles and we...

This paper examines the significance of widely used leading indicators of the UK economy for predicting the cyclical pattern of commercial real estate performance. The analysis uses monthly capital value data for UK industrials, offices and retail from the Investment Property Databank (IPD)....

This paper is the first to utilize a direct test for periodic, partially collapsing speculative bubbles in US REIT prices. A long history of data is employed for the All, Mortgage and Equity REIT categories. This approach is more powerful than existing tests and is based on the formulation of a...

This paper examines the significance of widely used leading indicators of the UK economy for predicting the cyclical pattern of commercial real estate performance. The analysis uses monthly capital value data for UK industrials, offices and retail from the Investment Property Databank (IPD)....