This paper proposes a variant application of the Merton distance-to-default model by employing implied volatility and implied a cost of capital to forecast defaults. The proposed model's results are compared with predictions obtained from three popular models in different setups. We find that...

This paper examines the information content of implied volatility for crude oil options as it relates to future realized volatility. Using data for the period 1996 to 2011 we find that implied volatility is an effective predictor of the month-ahead realized volatility. We show that implied...

This paper examines the information content of risk-neutral moments to explain crude oil futures returns. Implied volatility and higher moments are extracted from observed crude oil option prices using a model-free implied volatility framework and the Black-Scholes model. We find a tenuous and...

This paper proposes a variant application of the Merton distance-to-default model by employing implied volatility and implied cost of capital to predict defaults. The proposed model's results are compared with predictions obtained from three popular models in different setups. We find that our...

This paper examines the impact of insurer ratings changes on bond prices. Using insurer ratings from four major rating agencies and data covering the recent financial crisis period, we document that downgrades have a strong negative price impact on bond prices, especially when the downgrades are...

This paper comprehensively investigates the dynamic hedging performance of China's CSI 300 index futures by using the realized minimum-variance hedge ratio (RMVHR) as an efficient way to utilize the high-frequency intraday information. We thoroughly examine a number of RMVHR-based time-series...

In a well-designed enterprise risk management (ERM) program, the firm integrates risk management into the strategic planning process, addressing strategic risk, financial risk, operational risk, and hazard risk under a single overarching process. This is particularly important to large financial...

Although various asymmetric measures of market risk have been shown to be priced factors for the broader equity market, life insurer realized equity returns include a much larger premium for bearing downside risk, even after controlling for firm characteristics and other measures of risk....

This paper presents a general framework based on copulas for modeling dependent multivariate uncertainties through the use of a decision tree. The proposed dependent decision tree model allows multiple dependent uncertainties with arbitrary marginal distributions to be represented in a decision...