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We propose an equilibrium model for defaultable bonds that are subject to contagion risk. Contagion arises because agents with "fragile beliefs'' are uncertain about the underlying economic state and its probability. Estimation on sovereign European credit default swaps (CDS) data shows that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037129
correlation between interest rates and credit spreads. The times of default of a credit-risky bond are modelled as the jump times …, the partial differential equation (PDE) for the price of the zero-coupon credit-risky bond is derived. Then this PDE is … credit-risky bond mispricing under different parameter assumptions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079558
While the idea of governments issuing financial instruments whose repayments are indexed to gross domestic product (GDP) is not new, the current global backdrop of high sovereign debt coupled with low interest rates and weak and uncertain nominal growth prospects suggests the case for doing so...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012982491
This paper shows that forward default intensities in the Black and Cox (1976) model of corporate default can be expressed in terms of the Mills Ratio (Mills, 1926). The behavior of the forward default intensity and hence the survivorship functions then follows from inequalities that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954783
We document a higher bond return volatility around the time of default for bonds included in CDS auctions (especially … cheapest-to-deliver bonds) versus those that are not, while controlling for firm fundamentals and bond illiquidity. This … CDS buyers and sellers manipulating bond prices to achieve favorable CDS auction outcomes, rather than a spillover of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846414
This paper develops a decentralized theory that determines the fair value of the yield-to-maturity of a bond or bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848388
Whereas the callable-bond market used to emphasize primarily public debt - Government Agencies, and both investment …. S. bond market, and to relate those implied volatilities to measures of time to call, time from call to maturity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828696
,217, recovered cases increase by 6,468, and the recovery rate increases by 6.9% following the issuance of a corporate pandemic bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833766
I extend the application of Bandi and Tamoni (2014)'s time series decomposition to other asset classes, such as fixed income, credit and credit derivatives, and other models, such as the Fama and French three factor model. I document a significant increase in R squared from using the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012869426
unexpected persistence of the dislocation between bond and derivative credit markets. We show that the first two moments of the …We reinvestigate the CDS-bond basis negativity puzzle after the financial crisis. This puzzle is defined as the … cross-sectional variation of the CDS-bond basis in each regime. Using a model with several limit-to-arbitrage factors, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859945