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Specification error, prediction bias and rational expectations
Kennedy, Peter - In: Economic inquiry : journal of the Western Economic … 37 (1999) 2, pp. 382-384
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001399483
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Improving macro-economic forecasts : the role of consumer confidence
Batchelor, Roy A. - In: International journal of forecasting 14 (1998) 1, pp. 71-81
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001242429
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Forecasting and policy evaluation when expectations are rational : the discrete time case ; a comment
Hillier, Brian - In: Bulletin of economic research 39 (1987) 1, pp. 71-78
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001035028
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Economic forecasts, rationality, and the processing of new information over time
Swidler, Steven Mark - In: Journal of money, credit and banking : JMCB 22 (1990) 1, pp. 65-76
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001083462
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Explaining the recent slump in investment : the role of expected demand and uncertainty
Bussière, Matthieu; Ferrara, Laurent; Milovich, … - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011566588
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Forecasting demographic forecasts
Alho, Juha M. - In: International journal of forecasting 30 (2014) 4, pp. 1128-1135
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010517765
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A multivariate analysis of forecast disagreement : confronting models of disagreement with SPF data
Dovern, Jonas - 2014
This paper documents multivariate forecast disagreement among professional forecasters of the Euro area economy and … forecasters disagree with the average forecast tends to persist over time. This suggests that models of heterogeneous expectation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010424832
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Adaptive learning and survey data
Markiewicz, Agnieszka; Pick, Andreas - In: Journal of economic behavior & organization : JEBO 107 (2014) 2, pp. 685-707
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011295902
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Rationality and forecasting accuracy of exchange rate expectations : evidence from survey-based forecasts
Ince, Onur; Molodtsova, Tanya - In: Journal of international financial markets, … 47 (2017), pp. 131-151
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011892270
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Adaptive learning and survey data
Markiewicz, Agnieszka; Pick, Andreas - 2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010237296