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Announcing a large fiscal stimulus may signal the government’s pessimism about the severity of a recession to the private sector, impairing the stabilizing effects of the policy. Using a theoretical model, we show that these signaling effects occur when the stimulus exceeds expectations and...
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This paper addresses stock market volatility in Germany between 1991 and 2018. Through a GARCH model with leverage term …, an estimation of volatility in the DAX is provided. Such estimation is then plugged into a quantile regression model … where potential economic determinants are analyzed. The results suggest that stock market volatility in Germany reached its …
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This paper examines the effect of asset price volatility on fiscal policy stance. We find that asset price volatility … affects the volatility of discretionary fiscal policy in a positive and significant manner, which according to Fatas and Mihov … (2003) has negative repercussions on output volatility and economic growth. Higher residential property price volatility …
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