Tyrimo objektas – pajamų iš pelno mokesčio prognozavimas.Tyrimo tikslas – pasiūlyti pelno mokesčio pajamų prognozavimo modelį, kuris tiksliausiai prognozuotų pelno mokestį Lietuvos ekonominėmis sąlygomis.Uždaviniai:1) nustatyti pelno mokesčio įtaką valstybės pajamoms;2)...

The paper has a methodological character. It deals with possibilities of univariate time series models use in forecasting the regional labour market indicators. The main attention is focused on methodology for combining forecasts from different individual procedures. Forecasting performances of...

This research aims to forecast future economic and environmental growth for the next 16 years (2020-2035) according to the government's strategic framework by applying the second order autoregressive-structural equation model (second order autoregressive-SEM). The model is validated by various...

Demographic change in Germany, as one of the megatrends of the 21st century, is a well-known fact which will, without a doubt, profoundly change the country’s social and economic situation and challenge our whole economic system. Spurred by statements by press and political representatives,...

Daily evapotranspiration is a major component in crops water consumption management plans. Consequently, forecasting of daily evapotranspiration is the keystone of any effective water resources management plans in fragile environment similar to the Nile Delta region. The estimation of daily...

The paper has a methodological character. It deals with possibilities of univariate time series models use in forecasting the regional labour market indicators. The main attention is focused on methodology for combining forecasts from different individual procedures. Forecasting performances of...

Using monthly data for a set of variables, we examine the out-of-sample performance of various variance/covariance models and find that no model has consistently outperformed the others. We also show that it is possible to increase the probability mass toward the tails and to match reasonably...