Eine der größten Herausforderungen für die Konjunkturforschung ist es, konjunkturelle Wendepunkte frühzeitig und zuverlässig zu erkennen. Die Datenlage in Echtzeit ist dabei grundsätzlich problematisch: Einerseits gibt es bei realwirtschaftlichen Indikatoren eine...

The growth of the German economy intrinsically depends on the development of German exports to the euro area, which is by far the biggest market for German products. The paper estimates a structural equation for the export demand from the EMU member countries, which is suitable for both...

This paper analyzes the determinants of German exports to the euro area, which is by far the biggest market for German products. Four conditional error-correction models based on regionally disaggregated data are developed. One specification includes EMU industrial production and a real external...

The article analyses the impact of exchange rate changes on German export and import prices. The analytical framework is a mark-up model which is based on the assumption that the markets under consideration are imperfectly competitive as well as segmented. Hence, firms will no longer set prices...

Die Stellungnahme beantwortet ausgewählte Fragen von Abgeordneten des Hessischen Landtags zu verschiedenen Aspekten der Freihandelsabkommen TTIP, CETA und TISA. Zentrale Aussagen sind: Die Ergebnisse der großen Simulationsstudien vom Centre for Economic Policy Reasearch (CEPR) sowie vom ifo...

The growth of the German economy intrinsically depends on the development of German exports to the euro area, which is by far the biggest market for German products. The paper estimates a structural equation for the export demand from the EMU member countries, which is suitable for both...

Empirical studies analysing German import demand functions traditionally report implausibly high income and relative low price elasticities. Furthermore, estimation results strongly depend on the observation period. Minor variations in the estimation period typically lead to insignificant price...

Im Handelsstreit mit den USA ist die EU in einer relativ starken Verhandlungsposition. Das legen Erfahrungen mit einem ähnlichen Handelskonflikt nahe. So lassen sich aus dem Zoll-Experiment von US-Präsident Bush, der 2002 Importzölle auf spezifische Stahlerzeugnisse verhängte, zwei wichtige...