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inflation over the business cycle in a sample of fifteen Caribbean countries. In most countries, the evidence indicates the … that are exacerbated by pro-cyclical policy stance, tends to create an upward bias on inflation and a downward bias on real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014411208
We offer a novel methodology for assessing the quality of inflation reports. In contrast to the existing literature …, which mostly evaluates the formal quality of these reports, we evaluate their economic content by comparing inflation … coding of inflation reports to describe inflation factors communicated by central banks in real time. Regarding the latter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014411339
This paper examines the determinants of inflation in Sierra Leone using a structural vector autoregression (VAR …) approach to help forecast inflation for operational purposes. Despite data limitations, the paper accurately models inflation … in Sierra Leone. As economic theory predicts, domestic inflation is found to increase with higher oil prices, higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401671
Adequate modeling of the seasonal structure of consumer prices is essential for inflation forecasting. This paper … suggests a new econometric approach for jointly determining inflation forecasts and monetary policy stances, particularly where … money growth and implied exchange rate paths along with a jointly determined inflation forecast. The approach uses two broad …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402063
Union (WAEMU) from 1994 to 2009, this paper provides evidence of the two major channels for real effects of inflation …: inflation uncertainty and relative price variability. In line with theory and most evidence for advanced and emerging market … economies, higher inflation increases inflation uncertainty and relative price variability in all WAEMU countries. However, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402068
level of real returns consistent with their investment objectives. While inflation-linked bonds and derivatives have been … developed to hedge the effects of inflation, their limited supply and liquidity lead many investors to continue to rely on the … returns following inflation surprises …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403166
Yemen has had a high and volatile rate of inflation in recent years. This paper studies the underlying determinants of … inflation dynamics in Yemen using three different approaches: (i) a single equation model, (ii) a Structural Vector … Autoregression Model, and (iii) a Vector Error Correction Model. The outcomes suggest that inflation dynamics in Yemen are driven by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403227
High and variable inflation has been a central feature of the Turkish economy since the 1970s. This paper seeks to shed … some light on the determinants of inflation in Turkey by analyzing price determination within the framework of a multi …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403246
components of aggregate demand. The most recent cycle stands out in achieving for the first time a reduction in inflation without …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403282
Following very high inflation rates at the beginning of the reform process, most transition countries have succeeded in … lowering their inflation to more moderate rates. Inflation rates in the Baltics, Russia, and other countries of the former … Soviet Union are now typically in the range of 10–60 percent. This essay examines whether a further reduction in inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403301