A distortion risk measure used in finance and insurance is defined as the expected value of potential loss under a scenario probability measure. In this paper, the tail distortion risk measure is introduced to assess tail risks of excess losses modeled by the right tails of loss distributions....

In this paper we study the first passage time for a damage process to exceed a given threshold or for the maximal increment of this process to pass a certain critical value. Conditions under which this first passage time possesses the NBU, the IFRA or the IFR properties are studied. An...

Disruptions and random supplies have been important sources of uncertainty that should be considered in the design and control of supply chains. There have been many real world examples in which a single catastrophic event has simultaneously degraded the capabilities of several suppliers leading...

This paper is concerned with opportunistic maintenance on a multi-component cumulative damage shock model with stochastically dependent components. A component fails when its cumulative damage exceeds a given threshold, and any such a failure creates a maintenance opportunity, and triggers a...

It has been shown that vine copulas constructed from bivariate t copulas can provide good fits to multivariate financial asset return data. However, there might be stronger tail dependence of returns in the joint lower tail of assets than the upper tail. To this end, vine copula models with...

The extremal dependence of a random vector describes the tail behaviors of joint probabilities of the random vector with respect to that of its margins, and has been often studied by using the tail dependence function of its copula. A tail density approach is introduced in this paper to analyze...