-)establish credibility, optimal monetary policy under discretion is shown to set higher interest rates today if average inflation exceeded … term in the central bank's optimal instrument rule, which we refer to as the credibility loss. Augmenting a standard Taylor … seven central banks and that this influence is economically meaningful. A deteroriation in credibility forces central …

bank credibility. Forward guidance and the credibility of the central bank are uniquely modeled by utilizing a game …-theoretic evolutionary framework. We estimate credibility for the U.S. Federal Reserve with Bayesian methods exploiting survey data on … estimate of Federal Reserve credibility in terms of forward guidance announcements is relatively high, which indicates a degree …

bank credibility. Forward guidance and the credibility of the central bank are uniquely modeled by utilizing a game …-theoretic evolutionary framework. We estimate credibility for the U.S. Federal Reserve with Bayesian methods exploiting survey data on … estimate of Federal Reserve credibility in terms of forward guidance announcements is relatively high, which indicates a degree …

target. To (re-) establish credibility, monetary policy under discretion sets higher interest rates today if average … reflected in an additional term in the central bank's instrument rule, which we refer to as the "credibility loss." Augmenting a … and that this influence is economically meaningful. Deterioration in credibility (ceteris paribus) forces central bankers …

evolving Fed credibility, which accords with our recent work using a quantitative New Keynesian model. We define credibility as …, no conflict arises between flexible inflation targeting and maintaining/accumulating credibility. Second, implicit …

This paper analyzes the time-varying credibility of the Fed's inflation target in an empirical macro model with … across monetary policy regimes. I find that imperfect credibility is pronounced during the Volcker Disinflation and to a …