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In this paper we develop a multi-factor model for the joint dynamics of related commodity spot prices in continuous time. We contribute to the existing literature by simultaneously considering various commodity markets in a single, consistent model. In an application we show the economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015241344
In this paper we develop a multi-factor model for the joint dynamics of related commodity spot prices in continuous time. We contribute to the existing literature by simultaneously considering various commodity markets in a single, consistent model. In an application we show the economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005626834
In this paper we develop a continuous time factor model of commodity prices that allows for higher order autoregression and moving average components. The need for these components is documented by analyzing the convenience yield's time series dynamics. Making use of the affine model structure,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008542353
This article empirically investigates whether continuous time pricing models are able to help reveal mispriced commodity futures contracts. Mispricings are identified based on the difference between model and observed prices, using four different pricing models for four different commodity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010619221
In this paper, we develop a continuous time factor model of commodity prices that allows for higher-order autoregressive and moving average components. We document the need for these components by analyzing the convenience yield's time series dynamics. The model we propose is analytically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008864547
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009826789
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008858840
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011634553
Many commodity markets contain a strong seasonal component not only at the price level, but also in volatility. In this paper, the importance of seasonal behavior in the volatility for the pricing of commodity options is analyzed. We propose a seasonally varying long-run mean variance process...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905864