Auf der Grundlage einer Stichprobe von 105 sächsischen Unternehmen wird deren Zukunftsfähigkeit mit Hilfe einer neuen Ratingtechnologie analysiert. Diese basiert - neben klassischen Analysewerkzeugen - auf einer direkten Einbeziehung von Risikogesichtspunkten und einer stochastischen...

We propose a simple and powerful method for determining the transition process in continuous-time DSGE models under Poisson uncertainty numerically. The idea is to transform the system of stochastic differential equations into a system of functional differential equations of the retarded type....

Within the structural approach for credit risk models we discuss the optimal exercise of the callable and convertible bonds. The Vasiček-model is applied to incorporate interest rate risk into the firm’s value process which follows a geometric Brownian motion. Finally, we derive pricing...

We study the valuation and hedging of unit-linked life insurance contracts in a setting where mortality intensity is governed by a stochastic process. We focus on model risk arising from different specifications for the mortality intensity. To do so we assume that the mortality intensity is...

Within a default intensity approach we discuss the optimal exercise of the callable and convertible bonds. Pricing bounds for convertible bonds are derived in an uncertain volatility model, i.e. when the volatility of the stock price process lies between two extreme values.

This paper provides the proofs to the analysis of a continuous time matching model with saving in Bayer and Wälde (2010a). The paper proves the results on consumption growth, provides an existence proof for optimal consumption and a detailed derivation of the Fokker-Planck equations.

Despite the fact that many aggregates are nonlinear functions and the aggregation weights of many macroeconomic aggregates are time-varying, much of the literature on forecasting aggregates considers the case of linear aggregates with fixed, time-invariant aggregation weights. In this study a...

The possibility of low-probability extreme events has reignited the debate over the optimal intensity and timing of climate policy. In this paper we therefore contribute to the literature by assessing the implications of low-probability extreme events on environmental policy in a continuous-time...

Eines der wichtigsten Verfahren zur Anonymisierung von Betriebs-und Unternehmensdaten ist die stochastische Überlagerung. Ihr Einsatz zur Sicherstellung der faktischen Anonymität der Einheiten eines Datensatzes führt jedoch zu inkonsistenten Schätzungen von linearen Panelmodellen und macht...

Die Arbeit betrachtet die Auswirkungen von additiver und multiplikativer Überlagerung mit Messfehlern auf die Schätzung linearer Modelle. Dabei erfolgt diese Überlagerung geplant mit dem Ziel der Anonymsierung von Mikrodaten. Im Mittelpunkt steht die Überlagerung mittels einer (bimodalen)...