Deschamps, Bruno; Bianchi, Paolo - In: Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies 10 (2012) 3, pp. 229-246
This article evaluates the quality of professional macroeconomic forecasts in China for the years 1995--2009. Using a large panel of forecasts on four macroeconomic variables (GDP, inflation, consumption and investment), we reject the hypothesis of unbiasedness, and find that forecasters have...